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Thursday, 25 September 2025

What A Difference Thirty-One Days Make

 First Of All, If You Want Rainbows, Happiness And Gambolling Lambs -

You are in the wrong tent on the wrong planet.  No, we're not going to be extolling the exhibits of BOVINGTON TANK MUSEUM; this Intro is going to be going into the critical details of a commentary made by Professor Peter Caddick-Adams, about just how badly Ruffia is doing in Ukraine and at home.  Art!

I think Putinpot looks a bit better here than in real life.  As for BOOH  -

     The Prof is a pundit who has been there, done it, got the t-shirt and the coffee mug and written a book about it.  He's had a military career spanning 35 years and was official historian for NATO operations in Bosnia and for the British in Iraq.  He's a very knowledgable chap and if he makes a criticism, pay attention.  Art!

Bonkers in a Brodie Battle Bowler

     In his commentary, made on August 25th, he was utterly scathing and dismissive of the Alaskan 'summit' of August 15th, which, over a month later, has produced absolutely nothing of substance.  Unless you count the Boorish Orange Oaf Himself proudly patting himself on the back for entertaining an internationally-wanted war criminal.  As the Prof says, back in the day, international summits required scads of people working away behind the scenes to make them successful; they do not simply 'happen'.  Extensive research beforehand by advisers and diplomats, some of whom attend the meetings themselves, the presence of translators, security, experts in different fields, photographers, media representatives, plus the occasional spy are de rigeur to achieve anything concrete.  Well, normally.  BOOH discarded all this for a single translator.

     End result:

     Although it did provide a fillip for Putinpot, who was able to get away from Modern-day Mordor and escape his incredibly stressful home environment.  Art!


     Ah, enlightenment dawns.  The reason Donold Judas Trump is so desperate for a Nobel Peace Prize is that Obama got one in 2009, and the Toxic Tangerine Toad cannot stand the thought of his predecessor getting an award when he's not even within sniffing distance of it.  Thank you for clearing that up, Prof. 

     Art!

Plus one donkey.  No, I'm not joking.  An orc donkey was liberated by the AFU.

     From the nothingburger summit, the Prof then turns his attention to the Mordorvian economy and the  battlefield and how badly things are going for the Ruffians, because despite the Kremlin's braying about successes, they haven't managed to capture any significant urban area since Andreyivka - nineteen months ago.  Art!


     Coal, the ugly sister to oil and gas exports, has just posted a $3 billion loss, as reported by Rosstat, not a western spy or media agency.  These are the figures released for 2024; who knows how bad the figures for 2025 are going to be?

     Then there is that fabulous beast, the 'National Wealth Fund', which has been speculated is close to running out or has already run out.  Art!

     It stood at $40 billion in February, so by now could be down to $30 billion and looks set to run out at this rate by late 2025 or early 2026.  Which will leave only the options of raising taxes or printing money, or - horribly unwisely - both.  Taxes have already been raised across the board as of August, so the residents of Mordorvia will have the challenging prospect of either paying the rent or eating, just not both.  The Prof also commented on Ukraine's 'kinetic sanctions' against the Ruffian oil industry:

and destroying 13.5 per cent of oil-refining capability

     Typing this on 25th September 2025, that figure has almost trebled within thirty-one days - hence today's title - because the Ukrainian drone campaign shows no signs of slowing, let alone stopping.  Art!


     This is the 'Oil Refinery Bingo Card' showing which refineries of what size have been struck.  Note that Ryazan, the refinery that supplies Moscow with refined products, has been hit SIX times, because the Ukrainians are determined that the citizens of Barad-Dur are going to feel the pain.

     Another aspect that the Prof draws out is the insistence from Bunker Midget Grandad that Ukraine cede territory in the Donbas, which he and his minions always drag out as a criteria for a ceasefire.  Art!


     I nicked the map the Prof used, which was created by 'Clement Molin' on Twitter, as there aren't any good ones available on teh Interwebz.  What you see here is an Ukrainian defence belt 30 kilometres deep, with minefields, trench systems, bunkers, barbed wire, anti-tank ditches and obstacles, ground cleared of cover and pre-registered artillery fire zones.  Art!


     A small example of what the orcs are trying to get through; a ditch their infantry have to cross, full of nice sharp barbed wire.  The Ukrainians have poured money and manpower and resources into these defences to the tune of well over $1 billion and it has worked; the orcs have proven unable to take anything with defensive fortifications, so there is as much chance of Kyiv giving up these works as there is of my pot of tea becoming sentient and objecting to being filled with boiling water.  Art!


     This is a new development that the Prof may not have conceived of - a Ukrainian marine drone hitting the oil loading pier inside the harbour at Tuapse.  How on earth it got through a narrow harbour entrance is a question the orcs are going to ask and the Ukrainians refuse to answer.  Art!

The harbour in question

      Unlike their oil refineries, the orcs were on their toes this time, and there was a load of small arms fire aimed at the drone, to absolutely no effect, so I suspect it was specially armoured.  I bet Putinpot wishes he was back in Alaska.

     So, in summation, Ukraine can very will win this war if the Ruffian economy collapses.  Watch this space.


Fire That Sub-Editor!

As you should surely know by now, one of Conrad's better qualities is his hair-splitting pedantry, which has served the world well.  Kind of.  Art!


     First of all, 'cannon' only refers to weapons up to 40 mm calibre, I believe.  Secondly, that kite is from the First Unpleasantness, NOT the Second.  A minor yet important point.  Thirdly, the South Canadians mounted a 75 mm gun on their B-25 Mitchell bomber as an anti-shipping weapon, so yah boo sucks.  Art!


     Being novices at this sort of thing - unlike Perfidious Albion - they had a loader who loaded the shells manually, meaning it had a low rate of fire.  Art!


     This will be the gun they're talking about - the 57 mm 6-pounder anti-tank gun, which was used with a Molins loading system allowing it to fire 23 shells at a rate of one per second, the whole package fitting comfortably in the lower fuselage.


You Don't Get Away That Easily

Of what do I prate?  O I thought you'd never ask!  BOVINGTON TANK MUSEUM of course, although I shall be merciful and only post one tangential photograph.  Art!


     Darling Daughter looking unspeakably sinister and Tom panicking about the tank approaching behind them.  Don't worry, it's a green-screen Photoshop and they were merely standing in front of the fixed camera, having chosen a background.  Tom does have a look of Prigozhin doing his angry pointing meme, and Sal reminds me of that meme with a sinisterly smiling small girl in front of a burning house.  Art!

Sounds fair to me

I Am Willing To Go Out On A Limb Here

Art!


     No, it hasn't.  Notice that they use quotation marks around Noah's Ark, implying that it isn't the real thing, which would have rotted to nothingness if it was 5,000 years old.  Remember the BOOJUM! article about 'Woodhenges'? which were built 5,000 years ago?  Yeah, all rotted into oblivion.  No, I'm not going to bother with the click-baity item.


Finally -

Just to give Charlie Chipmunk Cheeks a shoeing whilst he's down and dreaming of sweet sweet Alaska, Syria has just officially recognised Ukraine.  Ooops.  Art!






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