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Monday, 9 November 2026

Statistics And Ballistics

Strap In, We're In For A Looooong Ride

First of all, since I'm writing this on Remembrance Sunday, allow me to include a bit of prose from Valerii Zaluzhnyi; he used to be the Ukrainian Minister of Defence but was replaced.  As proof that he wasn't disliked or out of favour, he instead got to be Ambassador to Great Britain.  He, very wisely, stopped shaving his head and allowed it to fur up.  Art!


     This makes him look a lot less like a thug in an alley who would beat you senseless and nick your phone.

     ANYWAY he posted on Twitter about today.  

"Across the United Kingdom, we remember those who lost their lives in the two World Wars and in conflicts since. This tradition of remembrance dates back to the Armistice of 11 November 1918, which brought the fighting of the First World War to an end.

For Ukraine, remembrance is not only about the past. Every day, our brave men and women continue to make the ultimate sacrifice in defence of our freedom."
     The UK suffered 45,000 dead in the Blitz.  It did not make us want to surrender, or arrange an armistice or stop fighting.  Quite the opposite.  Art!


     86 years apart with the ethos still the same.
     When the Second Unpleasantness began, the UK had a very limited capacity to strike back at the Teuton.  Over time this increased, to quantum levels of difference where whole Teuton cities could be bombed flat overnight.
   Let us now review where the needle is in terms of the orcs versus the Kozaky.  Art!


    Here is Ruffian data about how many of their refineries are on fire.  Art!


     This is the Ryazan refinery on fire, for the (!) 17th strike on it during this war.  Unlike previous drone attacks, the Kozaky have gone after the whole refinery rather than restricting to specific targets within the site.  Their intent is to destroy the whole installation rather than closing down part of it and we'll see if they manage same.  Also hit were the refineries at Kstovo, Bashneft and Novokuibishevbysk.  Art!


     Apologies if you're feeling bored or Refinery Burned Out.  This is the Samara hydraulics hub on fire, days after it was hit, where four pipelines meet, and the totality of the destruction has yet to be independently verified.  Art!


     - since it is completely covered with smoke.  Give it at least 48 hours before any satellite imagery can be released.
     'Operation Gomorrah' anyone?  You know, the British strikes against Teuton dams in 1943?  Reap the hurricane after sowing the wind vibes.
     Prez Zed also confirmed that there had been no 'Energy Treaty' about not striking Ruffian refineries in October - that was all inside the hideously deranged landscape of Donold Judas Trump's head.  Rather proven by the strikes above.
     ANYWAY back to the details about statistics.  Art!


     We are now venturing into territory analysed by both Preston Stewart (port) and Paul Warburg (starboard), with Jake Broe as an introduction.  Art!


     This graph shows the increasing Ruffian casualties as a single line, whilst their territorial gains are on the bar chart.  They are not doing well.  54,000 casualties in October 2026.  According to Jake's map, Mordorvia has conquered as much as 21 square kilometers in October 2026, at the cost of 54,000 casualties.  Ukraine is - you may be ahead of me here - quite a lot bigger than 21 square kilometers.  Art!


     Corroborating evidence from 'Preston Stewart' (whom I shall call 'Prez', just so you don't confuse him with Prez Zed) where he is using RUFFIAN data to show how miserably unsuccessful their offensives are, with the data from orc 'Kapris'.  Prez uses their data, alongside that of The Supreme Ruffian Shuffling Zombie Gerasimov, to work out that, at the current rate of progress, at 0.42 square kilometres per square per front - concentrating on the 10% of Donetsk that has not been conquered - it will take another 31 years to conquer what they desire.  In Donetsk.  In Donetsk alone, NOT the rest of Ukraine.  This is not the profile of a successful army, even if it pretends to be by lying and misreporting up the entire chain of command.  Don't forget - Kyiv in three days!
     This chimes with what Your Humble Scribe has posted elsewhere, where, on current of progress, it would take 100 years for the orcs to conquer Ukraine.  Art!

Trump is very cross that Ruffia is doing badly

     Warby - Paul Warburg if we're being formal - also focussed on the fact that the war is becoming ever-deadlier for the orcs.  That total of 54,000 (one every 35 seconds) in October is not the same statistical split as in normal warfare, since the orcs have absolutely no regard for their own lives and will not recover their own wounded or dead.  As an orc, it cannot be good for morale when walking past the corpses of those who got droned on the way to the Grey Zone, which numerous video clips depict.  Normally, the ratio of killed to wounded in modern warfare is 1:3.  Normally.  With the orcs, it's 3:2, so that's 32,000 KIA in October versus 22,000 WIA, because their medical services are state of the art for 1926.
     The situation is reversed with the Ukrainians; one correspondent told Prez that his battalion hadn't suffered a single casualty in weeks of operations because everything was being done by drone.
     I shall pause here as we don't want another single item blog, do we?


  

You May Or May Not 

Be overfond of Gene Roddenberry, the inventor of cult favourite 'Starry Trex' (sp?) but one saying he had sticks with Your Humble Scribe - "Did aliens build the pyramids?  No, human beings did, because they're clever and they work hard."

     We now have more proof of that, thanks to an Egyptian research team.

"Archaeologists had long suspected that the ancient Egyptians relied on a waterway to transport the massive stone blocks and other materials needed to build the towering pyramids.

However, as one of the lead researchers, Prof Eman Ghoneim, explained, "nobody was certain of the location, the shape, the size or proximity of this mega waterway to the actual pyramids site" – till now."

     Art!


     The dashed blue line is the ancient waterway, long since gone, which the ancient Egyptians used as a transport for their construction.  Gene vindicated.


Talking Of Antiquity -

Down to Number 8 on that list of works on classical civilisations.  Art!


     Hollywood has been kind to the Spartans, as seen in epics such as "The 300 Spartans' and '300', which ignore the fact that there were a lot of Thespians at Thermopylae, bec

     ANYWAY the creator of this list wholeheartedly recommends this book, which goes into the background of the Spartans in detail, not merely their waging of war, involving both logic and superstition.  Conrad recalls that they had a slave underclass, the helots, of whom they were both contemptful and worried.

     Look how responsible I am in not buying this book.  My palms are sweating but I'm not buying it.  NOT BUYING IT.

     <checks Abebooks>


Whoop Whoop

Look what I just discovered on my newsfeed.  Art!


     The universe is still trying to tell me something.  I wish they'd just use Gmail instead, it's a lot more rational if less supernatural.  Thanks, universe.


Another 'You What?' Moment

I shall merely post first without a leading comment.  Art!


     What on earth are they blathering on about?  Is this about lifts?  Elevators?  Meaningless management babble?  Word salad?  All of the previous?  No I am not going to click on the link to see where it leads, that's what brought about all this pan nonsense, which is not yet over -  the adverts on Youtube are all slanted towards hideously expensive Japanese cookware.  I learned my lesson there.


Finally -

Going out with a dual Biercism today.

"Magnet, n: something acted upon by magnetism.

Magnetism, n: something acting upon a magnet."



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